Monday 22 July

0830 Optional Pre-Conference Workshop Registration
0900  Practical skills for ecological forecasting across space, time and taxa.
Convenors: Stephanie Brodie, Curtis Champion, Gemma Carroll, Megan Cimino, Jason Hartog, Heather Welch
0900  On transboundary conservation options for migratory marine predators in the high seas.
Convenors: Mary-Anne Lea, Susan Gallon, Kylie Scales, Autumn-Lynn Harrison
0930  IPBES Nature Futures Framework workshop
Convenors: Laura Pereira, Kristi Maciejewski and Juliano Palacios-Abrantes
0930  Developing a toolkit for global museums with SOTM participants: connect the public with your research to advance biodiversity conservation and climate resilience.
Convenors: Henry McGhie and Amanda Bamford.
1330  Advancing Connectivity Conservation in Changing Climates: Tools for Ecological Network Design
Convenor: Center for Large Landscape Conservation & Connectivity Conservation Specialist Group, IUCN World Commission
1700

Welcome Reception

The 2019 SOTM Welcome Reception will be held within the braai within the camp, close to the conference venue and all the accommodation.

Tuesday 23 July

0800 Registration
PLENARY SESSION 1
0900

Conference Opening

Welcome to Country

0915 Formal Conference Opening
HSH Prince Albert II of Monaco
0935 Conference Goals & Code of Conduct
0945 Impacts of climate warming on ectotherms in the ocean and on land
Malin Pinsky
1015 Land-use change interacts with climate to determine elevational species redistribution
Fengyi Guo
1030 Freshwater species on the move: mechanisms and consequences
Wilco Verberk
1045 Morning Tea
1115 Science Communication Activity: Press Conference
Moderated by Stephen OliverSupported by UNSW
1200 Keynote – Theme 7
Human Migration and Environment: a key issue with few empirical evidences
Sabine Henry
1215 Keynote – Theme 1
Standards for data and models in biodiversity assessments
Miguel Araújo
1230 Keynote – Theme 11
Tom Lovejoy
1245 Keynote – Theme 8
Preventing a Shifting Future, the Exemplary Practices of the Ekuri community in Nigeria
Chief Edwin
1300 Lunch
01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 08. Indigenous knowledge and species on the move 11. The impacts of species on the move for global strategies and policies (SDGs, Biodiversity & Climate Change)
1400

Biogeography, macroecology and future of plant invasions: a global perspective

Petr Pysek

Are reindeer the new canaries? – How extractive industries facilitate multiple pressures on an Arctic pastoral ecosystem

Christian Fohringe

Marine ecological connectivity under the impact of climate change: can we climate-proof governance of ABNJ?

Warwick Sauer

1415

Modelling microclimates to predict species responses to climate change

Alexandra Gardner

The power of the ancestral philosophy of Sumak kawsay (Good Living) in the indigenous movements of Colombia – Ecuador vs. exclusion by mega mining development, contributions to the Rights of Mother Nature from the global south.

Eduardo Erazo Acosta

Treading the Wallacean shortfall for an endemic, iconic and threatened butterfly

Shuang Xing

1430

Butterflies and climate change: Identifying vagrant records to characterize species’ mobility

William Fagan

Analysis and Management of Tibetan Antelope Migration Route Based on Habitat Suitability Index Model

Rencai Dong

Biodiversity in a shifting sea: challenges and solutions for working across the science-policy interface

Abigail Mcquatters-gollop

1445

An integrative approach to modeling species distribution: combining correlative and mechanistic relationships to predict climate impacts on species

Daniel Crear

‘We Belong to the Land’: Survival and Restoration Under Northern Climate Change

Tero Mustonen

Argos system and satellites for migratory species conservation

Sophie Baudel

1500

Climate-driven range shifts in the United States: evidence from a hypothesis-driven framework and systematic review

Sarah Weiskopf

DISCUSSION DISCUSSION
1515-

Plankton as prevailing conditions: monitoring climate driven shifts in plankton communities as surveillance indicators for ecosystem based management

Jacob Bedford

DISCUSSION DISCUSSION
1530 Afternoon Tea
THEME 01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 07. Cultural, social and economic dimensions of changes in species distributions 05. Conservation paradigms & management strategies for a shifting future
1600

Ocean warming compresses the 3D habitat of marine biota

Gabriel Jorda

Geographical variation in sensitivity towildflower harvesting inferred from range-wide demographic data for 26 proteaceae species

Martina Treurnicht

Climate change adaptation efforts for species may be antagonistic to natural evolutionary responses

Alistair Hobday

1615

Dispersal kernels for predicting animal movement patterns

Laura Merritt

Predicted changes in the Western Cape agricultural sector: How will farmers and Blue Cranes be affected?

Christie Anne Craig

Ecological connectivity among British Columbia marine protected areas and the impacts of changing ocean temperatures

Sarah Friesen

1630

How might species ranges at different ocean depths shift with warming? An evaluation of climate velocity and implications for marine protected areas

Isaac Brito Morales

Implementing a nesting analysis to describe the context of range shifts in Barents Sea fish species

Ellie Bors

Autonomous adaptation to climate-driven changes in species distribution in a global marine hotspot

Gretta Pecl

1645

Determining pathways into Antarctica for marine biofouling organisms

Arlie McCarthy

Adapting to change? Availability of fish stocks to fishing communities on the US west coast

Rebecca Selden

Evaluating the risks and benefits of assisted migration in a stochastic metacommunity

Gregory Backus

1700

Plant range shifts: Advances, opportunities, and what we still need to know

Emily V Moran

Vulnerabilities and opportunities in global seafood trade under climate change

Christopher Free

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Is the future-proofing of biodiversity conservation an unattainable oxymoron?

Bruce Webber

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Glideways: Restoring Habitat Connections for Australia’s Iconic Gliding Mammals

Gary Howling

1715

Modeling the effects of extreme marine heatwaves to identify areas of potential refugia for a marine foundation species

Ana Giraldo Ospina

DISCUSSION

Connectivity Conservation for Resilience in Changing Climates

Kathleen Carroll

1730

Climate-driven range contractions are more widespread among terrestrial than marine taxa

Jonathan Lenoir

DISCUSSION

Running out of space: management sites for threatened species in New South Wales (Australia) are unlikely to be resilient to climate change

Linda Beaumont, Polly Mitchell

1745  Poster Reception & Drinks
Conference Centre Foyer
1630 3-Hour Sunset Safari – Optional
Kruger National Park

Wednesday 24 July

0800 Registration
PLENARY SESSION 2
0900 Keynote – Theme 5
A changing climate for coral reef management and adaptive restoration
Line Bay
0915 Keynote – Theme 6
Penguin Diplomacy – Overcoming the gaps and overlaps between Society, Conservation, Governance, and Science
Renuka Badhe 
0930 Keynote – Theme 4
Unraveling the evolutionary and ecological processes that define patterns of global biodiversity of vertebrates and plants
Cartsen Rahbek
0945 Keynote – Theme 2
The contribution of plasticity and evolution to range shifts under climate change
Carla Sgro 
1000 Keynote – Theme 3
Impacts of climate change on the community compositions and diversity of the world’s terrestrial birds
Alke Voscamp 
1015 Keynote – Theme 14
Tom Lovejoy 
1030 Keynote – Theme 13
A climate-smart blueprint for securing Australia’s biodiversity
April Reside 
1045 Morning Tea
THEME 01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 06. Governance, legal and ethical issues for shifting species and changing ecosystems 05. Conservation paradigms & management strategies for a shifting future
1115

Marine fish larvae and harvested species communities have similar climate-induced shifts in the Southwestern Atlantic Ocean

Micheli Duarte De Paula Costa

Wherever I may roam – adapting international wildlife law to the effects of climate change on wolverines, jackals, cheetahs and other carnivores

Arie Trouwborst

Using trait-based assessments to develop and implement on-the-ground climate adaptation projects for species

Nikhil Advani

1130

Projected changes in the global distributions of coral reef species under ocean warming and acidification

Farrah Powell

Climate Change Impacts on Protected Area Boundaries: A Speculative Analysis Using African Wild Dogs as a Case Study

Andrew Blackmore

Prioritizing Areas of Wolverine Habitat Connectivity in the Western United States

Kathleen Carroll

1145

Disentangling fishery and population changes during ocean warming and a marine heatwave in a biogeographical transition zone

David Fairclough

Keeping up with species on the move: designing more flexible conservation laws for a changing world

Philippa McCormack

Climate Change Impacts on Transboundary Fish Stocks in North America

Juliano Palacios Abrantes

1200

Marine Ecological Climate Services: user-driven forecasts of life in the Ocean

Mark R. Payne

Message framing and public policy support for invasive species management in a changing world

Elizabeth Hiroyasu

Managing for movement: tackling the national challenges associated with the redistribution of biodiversity driven by climate change

Nathalie Pettorelli

1215

Niche expansions in introduced species: how common are they and can we predict them?

Henry Hakkinen

Promoting adaptation to climate change in marine spatial planning

Catarina Frazão-Santos

IMPACT – 7 MINS

Fish distributions reveal discrepancies between zonal attachment and quota allocations

Paul Fernandes

1230

(IMPACT – 7 MINUTES)To move or to stay: optimal range modification strategy under climate change is taxon-specific for corals

Sun Kim

Fisheries Redistribution under Climate Change: Rethinking the Law to Address the “Governance Gap”

Mitchell Lennan

Entering unchartered waters: distributional shifts across international boundaries and subsequent hybridization of commercially harvested species produce an entirely new management dilemma

Warren Potts

1245

An analysis of birds colonising the United Kingdom: how well does climatic suitability predict current distributions?

James Cranston

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Accounting for shifting distributions in U.S. marine fisheries management: challenges and recommendation

Melissa Karp

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Adaptation pathways for conservation law and policy

Jan McDonald

Spatially integrated, temporally adjusted, multi factorial control of a range extending sea urchin

John Keane

1300

Improving the way U.S. fisheries management accounts for shifting distributions: detection and attribution

Jay Peterson

DISCUSSION

A management strategy evaluation of dynamic and static closures in a swordfish fishery: balancing economic and bycatch concerns

James Smith

1315

Lunch

Comms Event – Perfecting your science pitch

THEME 01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 04. The paleo-ecological perspective: reconstructing species distributions over multiple millennia 05. Conservation paradigms & management strategies for a shifting future
1430

Relationships between body condition and oceanographic habitat quality for a range-shifting pelagic fish from eastern Australia

Curtis Champion

Mechanisms of range collapse and extinction for the woolly mammoth

Damien Fordham

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

The success of terrestrial vertebrate conservation translocations worldwide: are we getting better at moving species?

Shane Morris

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

SEA Sentinels project – A collaborative, multi-disciplinary framework using seabirds and marine mammals as indicators in rapidly changing seas

Mary-Anne Lea

1445

Physiology and competitive interactions influence modelled outcomes of climate change on a resident and a range-shifting species

Samantha Twiname

Mechanistic simulation models reveal pervasive range shifts and extinctions in Quaternary South America

Robert K.Colwell

An EEZ-wide dynamic management and monitoring approach for a pelagic tuna fishery

Megan Cimino

1500

Monitoring marine megavertebrates as Essential Ocean Variables in the Global Ocean Observing System: Who, Why, How, and What Next for Implementation?

Daniel Costa

Reconstructing the spatio-temporal extinction dynamics of the thylacine

Barry Brook

Environmental indicators to reduce loggerhead turtle bycatch offshore of Southern California

Heather Welch

1515

Trees on the move, or not

Josep M Serra Diaz

A phylogeographic process model to investigate paleo-climatic drivers of diversity

Dan Rosauer

Living fossils in highly urbanized areas: Interventions aiming to mitigate local extinction risk and species range shifts in Asian Horseshoe crabs

Juan Diego Gaitan-espitia

1530

Resolving range dynamics of an invasive plant species in the Swiss Alps

Chelsea Chisholm

The Role of phylogenetic and functional Diversity in driving global Patterns in coral species Migrations

John Pandolfi

DISCUSSION
1545 DISCUSSION

Cross-scale interactions and the migration of trees

Stephen Jackson

DISCUSSION
1600 Afternoon Tea
1600 – 1700 Talking circle – an opportunity to speak with Zulu fishers
hosted by Tero Mustonen
1700

ECR Discussion Panel and Networking Evening

Sponsored by CSIRO

1630 3-Hour Sunset Safari (optional)
Kruger National Park

Thursday 25 July

0800 Registration
PLENARY SESSION 3
0845 Communicating Science
A plenary with filmmaker Stephen Oliver followed by a panel Q & ASupported by UNSW
0945

Keynote – Theme 12

Climate invader or refugee? Evaluating ecological impacts of species redistribution
Associate Professor Cascade Sorte

1000

Keynote – Theme 9

Climate Change Effects on the Geographic Distribution of Infectious Diseases in the Arctic
Tomas Thierfelder

1015 Interviews with Indigenous Elders
Hosted by Tero Mustonen
1045 Morning Tea
THEME 01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 04. The paleo-ecological perspective: reconstructing species distributions over multiple millennia 05. Conservation paradigms & management strategies for a shifting future
1115

Challenges in quantifying, interpreting and predicting distributional shifts of marine species

Tara Marshall

Palaeo-ecological plant data reveal effects of climate-driven range shifts on community structure

Regan Early

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Science in support of sustainable fisheries management: how are we accounting for shifting distributions?

Patrick Lynch

1130

Spatially explicit, cross-continental predictions of climate change-related local extinction risk and richness decline in bumblebees

Peter Soroye

Effects of seasonal dynamics on a migratory species since the Last Glacial Maximum

Kasper Thorup

DISCUSSION

02. Understanding ecological and evolutionary mechanisms facilitating or hindering range shifts

1145

Mapping the distribution of the people’s plants to better predict and adapt to climate change

Samuel Pironon

Lessons from the past: Reconstructing ecological baselines for the South African terrestrial megafauna using long-term biodiversity data

Sophie Monsarrat

Almost two decades of coral-reef fishes moving polweards in SE Australia: patterns, mechansims, and implications

David Booth

1200

Pattern or Process: considering space, time, and the environment in species distribution models

Stephanie Brodie

DISCUSSION

Staying in Place: Site Fidelity as a Maladaptive Strategy in the Anthropocene

Briana Abrahms

14. Protected Areas Planning for Species on the Move: Lessons from the tropics and marine opportunities
1215

Biased selection of predictor variables used in climate forecast species distribution models

Jeremy Ringma

Spatial Planning of area-based conservation for climate change: Terrestrial and Marine perspectives

Lee Hannah

Range edge dynamics of marine fishes in a global warming hotspot

Alexa Fredston-Hermann

1230

Transforming understanding of when and where species move in response to environmental change

Jeremy Kerr

Modelling biodiversity responses to projected climate and biome changes in sub-Saharan Africa

Guy Midgley

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Climate driven changes to dispersal pathways in a climate change hotspot

Paulina Cetina-Heredia

IMPACT – 7 MINS

Salt of the earth: a critical impediment to herbivore range-shifts in response to climate change

Kara Youngentob

1245 Lunch
THEME 01. Detection, attribution & prediction of changes in species distributions 14. Protected Areas Planning for Species on the Move: Lessons from the tropics and marine opportunities

02. Understanding ecological and evolutionary mechanisms facilitating or hindering range shifts

1345

Modelling the broad-front migrations of European-African migratory birds

Tom Mason

Neotropical results from SPARC: Where in the world should we put conservation for climate change?

Pablo Marquet

IMPACT – 7 MINS

The effect of habitat complexity on temperature preference in coral reef fish

Tiffany Nay

IMPACT – 7 MINS

Genomic analyses and climate models reveal a rapid but long-lasting climate-driven geographic expansion of a tropical herbivorous reef fish

Laura Gajdzik

1400

Is the geographic range of the desert tree, Aloidendron dichotomum, shifting in response to climate change?

Wendy Foden

Climate change increases the spatial mismatch between protected areas and butterfly diversity hotspots in Southeast Asia

Timothy Bonebrake

Winds of change: wind connectivity, gene flow, and climate adaptation in trees

Matthew Kling

1415

Dispersal will determine the outcome of climate change on Amazon primate distribution

Lilian Sales

Assessment of Africa’s protected areas biodiversity representation as species move in response to climate change: translating research to real-world planning

Yolanda Chirango

Integrating genetic and demographic effects of dispersal on population response to a variable environment

Marissa Baskett

1430

The distribution of a coastal resident fish species is constrained by how oxygen availability and temperature limit its metabolic potential

Murray Duncan

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Marine perspectives in protected area planning for climate change

Lee Hannah

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Including coral reef condition and environmental change into protected area design for future conservation outcomes

Madeline Davey

Towards a better understanding of species responses to climate change by integrating data and approaches across disciplines and scales

Christian Hof

1445

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Predicting the current and future potential distributions of Cedrus atlantica Manetti in North Africa using MaxEnt

Abdelkader Bouahmed

The multivariate exposure of Australia’s MPA network to climate change

David Schoeman

Characterising range expansion potential of tropical vagrant fishes

Will Figueira

1500 DISCUSSION

Using multi-species habitat models for the design of oceanic fisheries closures

Guillermo Ortuno Crespo & Daniel Dunn

Migration in the cobia, and potential for adaptation to climate change

Kevin Weng

1515 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Using physiology and performance to predict climate driven distribution range shifts in three temperate African anurans species: a hybrid modelling approach

Mohlamatsane Mokhatla

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Temperature utilization in a coral reef flat specialist, the epaulette shark, Hemiscyllium occelatum

Connor Gervais

1530 DISCUSSION DISCUSSION

Imprints of physiological and ecological constraints on the biogeography of an ectotherm

Raquel Garcia

1545 Afternoon Tea
1600 Conference Dinner
The dinner will be outside the camp but still with the park. The transport to dinner will include a two-hour Safari

Friday 26 July

0800 Registration
THEME 03. Impacts of climate change on community structure and patterns of taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity 13. Interactions between multiple stressors and range shifts

02. Understanding ecological and evolutionary mechanisms facilitating or hindering range shifts

0830

Shifting daylength regimes associated with range shifts alter aphid-parasitoid community dynamics

Rachel Kehoe

Synthesizing the impacts of sediment disturbances on marine biodiversity

Rafael Almeida Magris

Do microbes play a role in facilitating the range expansion of tropical fish into temperate systems?

Adriana Verges

0845

Temperature-performance relationships for algal production versus consumption by herbivorous fishes. Implications for warming coral reefs

Alexia Graba-landry

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Hypoxia surpasses the impacts of ocean acidification and warming in marine biota

Rui Rosa

Investigating physiological mechanisms and ecological consequences of a climate-driven range extension of a marine predator (Chrysophrys auratus) into southeast Tasmania

Barrett Wolfe

0900

Patterns and drivers of high-latitude reef communities along the tropical-to-temperate transition

Brigitte Sommer

DISCUSSION

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

How dragonflies and damselflies respond to global change; a cross-continental analysis

Catherine Sirois-Delisle

09. Implications of species on the move for human and animal health
0915

Cross-taxon biodiversity trends in central Europe

Eva Katharina Engelhardt

Understanding the global impacts of climate and land-use change on animal-borne diseases

David Redding

Temperature variation and compensatory density feedback drive life stage-specific establishment of tropical fish in temperate seas

Cristián Monaco

0930

Predicting changes in multi-taxon reef functioning under climate change

Katie Cook

Exploring global patterns of zoonotic dark diversity

Sonia Tiedt

Tropical butterflies persist in variable environments through morphological and behavioral specialization

Wenda Cheng

0945

Using spatially explicit, mechanistic vegetation models to study ecosystem stability, extreme events and invasion

Wilfried Thuiller

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Discrepancies in data reporting of zoonotic infectious diseases across the Nordic countries – a call for action in the era of climate change

Birgitta Evengard

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Varying effects of global warming on schistosomiasis and intermediate host snails species

Anna-Sofie Steensgaard

Phenological shifts reshape expectations for distributional shifts in a montane avifauna

Morgan Tingley

1000

Rapid borealization of Arctic marine fish communities

André Frainer

DISCUSSION

Global warming propels exotic species impacts on marine ecosystems

Scott Bennett

1015 Morning Tea    
THEME 03. Impacts of climate change on community structure and patterns of taxonomic, functional and phylogenetic diversity 12. Ecological impacts of species redistributions on recipient ecosystem function and resilience.

02. Understanding ecological and evolutionary mechanisms facilitating or hindering range shifts

1045

Spatio-temporal scaling of functional diversity change

Marta Jarzyna

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Shady dealings threaten a formidable predator: weeds tip the balance in a cryptic trophic cascade

Ruchira Somaweera

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Climate-mediated threats to temperate reef resilience: quantifying the mechanisms that limit kelp forest recovery

Sahira Bell

Mesophication from oak to maple: a tree-ring perspective in the forests of eastern United States

Tsun Fung Au

1100

Effects of climate change on a restored southern California salt marsh community

Christine Whitcraft

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Shifts in the marine fish assemblage on tropicalised east Australian reefs

Shannen Smith

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Rabbitfishes have come south-under: range-expansion and habitat associations of tropical herbivorous fish in temperate ecosystems of Western Australia

Salvador Zarco Perello

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Mixed-species shoaling as a behavioural mechanism facilitating the redistribution of tropical fishes

Kai Paijmans

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Presence of cleaning mutualisms affect reef fish distribution forecasts

Jose Ricardo Paula

1115

Alternative climate drivers of local species richness, colonization, and extirpation in marine fishes

Zoë Kitchel

Impacts of warming on novel and native plant-herbivore interactions across the Mediterranean Sea

Julia Santana Garcon

Evolution of migratory behavior in birds – synthesis with a biogeographical perspective

Bela Arora

1130

Implications of environmental change on the distribution of imperilled species

Christine Howard

Assessing risks of climate-driven range shifts through the lens of invasion biology

Toni Lyn Morelli

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Surviving in steep terrain: A lab-to-field assessment of locomotor costs for wild mountain lions (Puma concolor)

Carolyn Dunford

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Integrating physiology, behavior and life history to understand impacts of ocean warming on key marine species

Patricia Peinado

1145

Vertical stratification influences global patterns of terrestrial biodiversity and their vulnerability to climate change

Brett Scheffers

The ecological consequences of mangrove expansion into salt marshes on the Texas (USA) coast

Anna Armitage

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Decoding climate response: future of native snow trout and non-native brown trout in Himalayan rivers

Vineet Dubey

IMPACT – 7 MINUTES

Factors restricting the spread of invasive plants at high latitudes

Peter Kotanen

1200

Light-driven range expansions and the underwater greening of the poles

Graeme Clark

Measuring spatial predator-prey overlap to understand changing trophic interactions

Gemma Carroll

Contrasting Forms of Competition Constrain Elevational Distribution of Species

I-Ching Chen

1215 DISCUSSION

Accelerated reef ecosystem collapse following population explosion of a pivotal range-extender

Scott Ling

The importance of understanding intraspecific behavioral variation in migratory fishes and its impact on the adaptability of these fishes to climate change

Alexander Winkler

1230
Lunch
1315 Closing Session and Award Ceremony

Species on the Move

An International Conference Series

The conference brings together scientists and natural resource managers working in the disciplines of global change, biogeography and evolution, and relevant in contexts of natural resource management, biodiversity management and conservation, and theoretical ecology.


Species responses to climate change is a rapidly evolving research field, however, much of our progress is being made in independent research areas: e.g. understanding the process vs responding to the implications, terrestrial vs marine ecosystems, global meta-analyses vs in depth species-specific approaches. This interdisciplinary conference develops connections between these parallel streams, and across temporal and spatial scales.

Conference Managers

Please contact the team at Conference Design with any questions regarding the conference.
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